The forecast line projects expected move size and probability bands from comparable historical pumps. It sets realistic targets instead of hype numbers.
Regression model forecast
๐ Forecast: +3.2% (1h) | +5.1% (4h) | risk -1.1%
| +X% (1h) | Expected upside in 1 hour (regression prediction, not a guarantee) |
| +X% (4h) | 4-hour expectation |
| risk โX% | Expected drawdown (worst dd during the period). If risk > potential โ skip |
Emoji changes by expected move size:
- ๐ โ forecast โฅ5% (strong move)
- ๐ โ 2โ5%
- โ๏ธ โ 1โ2%
- โก๏ธ โ <1% (weak)